Weather forecast: Above normal hurricane season predicted ‘Have a plan in place’
The hurricane season is from June to November when the seas are at their warmest and most humid creating ripe conditions for a hurricane to develop. With oceans around the planet continuing to warm year-on-year, experts believe this year will be no different from previous years in terms of powerful storms.
Last year marked the fourth year in a row for above normal activity for hurricanes and storms.
On a normal year, scientists expect around 12 storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
However, 2019 saw 18 storms and major hurricanes Dorian, Lorenzo and Humberto, which resulted in $11 billion (£8.8billion) in damage.
Now, weather forecasters AccuWeather are anticipating the same for 2020.
Forecasters have looked at previous years which had similar weather patterns to date, known as analog years, namely 1980 and 2005.
In 1980, Hurricane Allen developed into a Category 5 storm and wreaked havoc on Haiti before striking lower Texas. More than 200 people were killed.
In 2005, there were a staggering 28 storms, including Hurricane Katrina which killed 1,800 people in the US.
Dan Kottlowksi, AccuWeather’s top hurricane expert, said: “It’s going to be an above-normal season.
“There are a number of analog years we looked at that certainly show high-impact storms affecting the United States.”
Weather forecasters are predicting two to four hurricanes to make landfall over the US this year.
Mr Kottlowski continued: “These could be direct hits or a storm scraping the coast but still causing impacts.
“Forecasts will give you an idea of how active it might be, but all it takes is one storm to make landfall in your area to cause serious and life-threatening problems.
“This year, more than likely, we’ll get hit with one or two big storms and we don’t know specifically where that is, so if you live near a coast or on an island, have a hurricane plan in place.”
Meteorologists will keep a keen eye on the Caribbean Sea and areas east of the Bahamas, which are where many hurricanes begin to form.
This is because the waters are warmer there, and experts have already noticed water temperatures in the Caribbean are already creeping up.
Mr Kottlowski said: “Warm water is actually what drives a lot of seasons. So those will be areas to keep an eye on for early-season development.”
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